Democrats are going to lose the war over the Senate in 2018 and beyond, but there is one area they are guaranteed to make gains in that fight: the presidential race.
A growing number of Republicans say they will support Trump, and Democrats will probably win the Senate, but it’s still a highly contested race.
The stakes are high for both parties.
Republicans will have to try to flip more than a handful of states to get a majority of seats, while Democrats will have a better shot at flipping a few seats in the House and at picking up governorships in swing states like Pennsylvania and Ohio.
The GOP is also confident it will get to the midterms in the fall, if not sooner.
That is a tall order for a party that is trying to gain ground in the final two years of Barack Obama’s presidency, as Democrats continue to gain momentum.
But there is still plenty of time for Democrats to take back the House.
That will require winning at least 20 seats.
Republicans are confident they will do that, and have already shown signs of taking that path in recent weeks.
But the GOP is playing catch-up.
The GOP’s Senate strategy is not to take a long-term approach, like trying to hold onto House seats in states where Trump has historically won.
Instead, the GOP wants to go into the midterm election with an advantage.
That means the party needs to win back control of the Senate.
That’s not the case for the Democrats.
Democrats have not made any major gains in the Senate since they took control in January 2017.
But they have made gains in both chambers of Congress in 2018, and now have a clear path to retake control of both houses.
The Democrats also have a significant advantage in Senate districts, with more than half of the 435 seats up for grabs in 2018 being held by Democrats.
Democrats are still far behind in seats that Republicans have held since the end of World War II, but they are poised to make strides in 2020, as Republicans start to lose ground in states like Wisconsin, Colorado, Minnesota, Nevada, Arizona and Nevada.
Democrats believe they can win the House as well.
In 2018, Republicans only needed to flip a handful more seats to get the majority.
Now, they have a good chance of flipping the majority in a number of states.
Democrats can only hope Republicans can do the same this time around.
Republicans are confident the Senate will flip for them.
They’re going to need to win at least a handful states, and a few of those states are in states Trump carried in 2016 and 2016.
If Republicans can win more than 20 seats in 2020 — and that’s a tall goal — they have the potential to retake the House by the end.
In the Senate race, Democrats have a chance to pick up seats that Trump carried and hold onto them for years.
That gives them a clear shot at picking off seats in key states that Republicans are currently losing.
If the GOP wins more than 10 seats, the Senate is locked in for the next four years.
If the Democrats win 10 or more seats, Democrats can retake the Senate for the first time since 1994, when the GOP lost control of it in a presidential election.
If Democrats win more seats than Republicans, the Republicans will be the minority.
The numbers below are a rough guide to what will happen in the upcoming midterm elections.
The Senate is a tie right now, and the Republicans have only five seats to lose.
It’s unclear when the Democrats will flip a few more seats.
The race between Democratic Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Republican Sen. Pat Toomey is the first to be officially announced in the 2018 midterm elections, and Toomeo is expected to win his race in a landslide.
Warren, the junior senator from Massachusetts, has been at the forefront of the push to hold the Senate accountable for President Trump.
She is the co-founder of the progressive organization Our Revolution, which pushed for President Sanders to run for president in 2020.
In a recent statement, Warren said that Trump “was elected to do what he thought was right, but his actions have cost American families, families of veterans, and American workers.”
Toomey, the Democratic incumbent in Pennsylvania’s 2nd District, is the top-ranking Republican in the state and a former Pennsylvania state legislator.
The Republican is running for re-election, but has been unable to take out the Democratic candidate in the race.